There is a lot in the news I want to comment on but first, I want to share some thoughts on what happens six weeks from today and it’s meaning for our future.
There is a tsunami wave coming that many Democrats are ignoring or simply don’t see. A look at the polls around the country and at the current comments of the President and Democrat leaders provides quite a contrast. Maybe they have to be optimistic and have sunny dispositions, but it could also be that they live in an alternative universe where the American people are really happy with the ways things are going, aren’t talking to pollsters but will turn out to support the party of the One who will save our world.
The polls are simply devastating for the Democrats. When one looks at the 2008 election, states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, which had been trending Democrat over the past twenty years, combined with red states trending purple/blue like Ohio, Indiana, Virginia and Florida, and gave President Obama 95 votes more than he needed for victory in the Electoral College. Talk of a ascendent Democrat party and a declining Republican party dominated the political punditry.
Now, just two years later, after two years of the most radical leftward turn in our history, how different the landscape looks. Wisconsin is seeing a Republican landslide with the GOP candidates for Senator and Governor with sizable leads ( Bye Bye Russ Feingold – who saw that coming? ). In Pennsylvania, same thing, with several Democrat incumbent Congressmen in serious jeopardy. Ohio sees the GOP candidates for Senate and Governor with double-digit leads, despite, or perhaps because of, Presidential and Vice-Presidential visits. Florida and Indiana are about to elect conservative Republicans as Senators, Virginia elected a Republican governor last year and is about to replace several incumbent Democrat Congressmen, in Michigan, the GOP gubernatorial candidate has a large lead, as does the Illinois GOP candidate for governor. If you start adding up those electoral votes, 2012 starts to look real good for the Republicans.
And, the incredible thing to me is, the Democrat leadership is refusing to change course, refusing to admit mistakes, or moderate in any way. I am reminded of the scene in Animal House toward the end when the riot breaks out in town during the parade, and ROTC student Kevin Bacon is calmly saying ” All is well, all is well ” while he is being stampeded and run over.
Nirvana is not here. The damage is extensive and the Republicans have to produce, have to stick to their principles, have to persevere without wavering or compromise. But, all looked dark and bleak on the horizon less than two years ago, and now, just six weeks down the road, the sun is starting to break through.
One final note: this won’t happen without you being involved. As you may know, I am the state director of Americans for Prosperity. We have extensive plans for the local elections nad we can use any help you can give. If you can help us doordrop precincts or make phone calls from your home, please let us know at firstname.lastname@example.org
Wake up Wednesday morning, November 3, knowing you contributed to the victory you will be hearing about, knowing that you helped save America. We need your help. We need to save our country. We cannot do it without you.
Five years ago today, Lance Corporal Shane Swanberg, USMC, 24, was killed in Iraq. I knew Shane as he played soccer for several years with my son Nathan on the LWYSA Strikers. Shane was always smiling and in a good mood, even after he had tangled with an opponent who outweighed him by 30 pounds. Shane was not the biggest or fastest player on the team but he was determined and never hesitated, always giving it his all. He graduated from Juanita High School in 2000. He was a great kid, fun to watch and to be around. He loved golf and racqetball.
After 9/11, Shane joined the Marine Corps. He spent nearly three years at 29 Palms down in California, but was always seeking a way to get to Iraq. He once showed Tom Arnold on the Best Damn Sports Show how the machine gun on his Humvee worked. He and his unit, 3/7 Weapons Company, CAAT RED, finally received orders for Iraq and he arrived on 9/8/05. He was killed on the 15th in an early morning attack. I was told he was walking to get breakfast around 7 AM and the base was hit by mortars and/or rockets.
There were 800 people at Northshore Baptist Church for his funeral service. I told his mom and dad, Linda and Brian, that I would never let Shane be forgotten. They are good people who raised a fine son, who gave his life for his country and for the freedom of people in another land. I wear a bracelet with Shane’s name every day. His family are in my thoughts and prayers. I have not and never will forget. Neither should you.
The James Michener novel, The Bridge at Toko-Ri, about naval aviators and the Korean War, ends as the Admiral on the carrier is informed that he has lost a pilot and the helicopter crew that went to rescue him. He muses ‘ Where does America get such men?’. I know where, from homes with good parents who raise their children with respect, appreciation and a sense of responsibility. That’s where America got Shane. That’s where America will always get the men and women it needs to defend it and vanquish her enemies. When those homes disappear, so will America.
Lance Corporal Shane Swanberg, USMC, RIP, thank you for your service and sacrifice. Linda and Brian, thank you for yours. Never forget the price of freedom. Never forget Shane Swanberg. Never forget.
So, seven weeks out, how does the election look? The Democrats continue to look for any sign of any form of good news, but it has so far failed to materialize, similar to the recovery. Future Speaker John Boehner spoke two weeks ago in Cleveland and offerred a five point plan to help restore economic growth: extend the Bush tax rate cuts for all; the President should veto any harmful legislation passed during a lame duck session; the 1099 provision in Obamacare should be repealed ( this would require all small businesses to file a Form 1099 to the IRS for every supplier from which they purchase more than $600 of goods every year – didn’t know that was in there? Don’t know what that has to do with health care? You and many others, my friend ); non-defense discretionary spending should be cut to 2008 levels; and, #5, Obama should fire his top economic team, those that haven’t left the sinking, uhh, I mean the White House already. These are a good start.
Another political analyst, Patrick Ishmael, now says if trends continue, the Republicans will pick up 60 or more seats in the House. So far, the trends do continue, and no change is seen on the horizon.
Politico reports that here is a letter to Speaker NOT-FOR-LONG Pelosi from several prominent and threatened-with-defeat Democrat Congressmen urging them to not let the Bush tax rate cuts expire at the end of the year. This plea suggests the GOP is not holding middle tax cuts hostage, or extreme in wanting the rate cuts to be extended for everybody. It appears the class warfare machine has run out of gas.
Obamacare was back in the news for several reasons: Polls continue to show the public doesn’t like it, rejects it, wants it repealed; the Wall Street Journal reported that health care costs will continue to rise and that the Obamacare bill will NOT significantly change national health spending over the next decade (like, they are telling us something we didn’t know); and Kathleen Sebelius, Secretary of Health and Human Services, announced zero tolerance for any insurance companies raising rates and blaming Obamacare. She referred to the ‘misinformation’ spread by the industry trying to justify their ‘unjustified’ rate increases this year. She also spoke two weeks ago of the need for ‘re-education’ when it came to the bill and it’s impact and provisions. The Wall Street Journal and Michael Barone both referred to these tactics and terminology as thuggery, exactly right, Chicago thuggery in fact. Government officials talking about re-education and sanctions for expressing opinions. If Bush had done this….
Charlie Cook, considered by many the #1 political analyst in America, said last week that the GOP takeover of the House is certain. He says that there are 85 competitive House races this year, 77 of them Democrat seats.
Austin Goolsbee, the President’s new chief economic advisor, said Sunday that we will see high unemployment for some time. And we will, if we don’t change economic policies. We heard the same thing in 1979 and 1980, then we changed course, radically, and had 21 million new jobs and a long period of economic growth. Change the policy, change the outcome. Both are choices. We must choose the right course, the proven course, to get different results. November is coming, 49 days away.
Oh, by the way, it was announced over the weekend that the poverty rate in America is heading for a record increase. Surprised?
Last note, on the state level, the Seattle Times reported on Saturday that the state’s budget problems, bad currently, are going to get worse. This Thursday, we will get a glimpse of how bad when the tax revenue forecasts are announced. I think you may agree that a solution to this problem is not to send the very same people who got us here back to Olympia in November. The current forecast is for a $3.3 billion shortfall, but it will probably get worse.
We all have a choice to make in 49 days. Decline is a choice, but so is change. We can’t change without you getting involved. There is so much to do and it won’t get done without you. As you may know, I am State Director of Americans for Prosperity. We have a program called November is Coming. It involves people helping distribute voter education material in targeted districts: the 45th, the 48th, the 28th, the 47th, the 30th among others. If you can spare a couple of days, if you have been looking for a way to get involved, if you want to make a difference, if you want to be able to say that you helped turn this state and this country around, please contact me at my email, email@example.com . We’ll put you to work, and, together, we win, America wins.
The bad news ( for Barack and the D’s ) continues…….
August auto sales were the lowest in 28 years, since 1982. FORD, for some reason, apparently dropped the lowest of the Big Three.
According to the latest Gallup poll, Republicans lead in the generic Congressional ballot among registered voters 51% to 41%, 10 points, the largest lead in the history of Gallup’s midterm preference poll, first taken in 1942. The GOP is also ahead of their final poll number in the 1994 poll.
Just remember the number sixty – 60.
Politico reports today that public support for health care reform dropped sharply in August.
Health Care for America Now, a pro-Obamacare advocacy group, has decided that the best way to support those candidates who are pro-Obamacare is to talk about something else, any issue but Obamacare – the economy, jobs, anything but health care reform. Strange, isn’t it? For a clue, see the item directly above.
The Financial Times today has an article by their Washington DC correspondant headlined ” Democrats Face Midterm Meltdown”.
The Dow Jones Index ended August today, the worst August since 2001. BTW, when the Democrats took over Congress in 2007, the DJIA was around 12,500.
Please be sitting down when you read this one. PPP, Public Policy Polling, is a polling organization generally recognized as having a leftish tint. They recently polled Ohio, and will release their total numbers tomorrow. But one number they released early concerned asking Ohioans whether they’d rather have Presdient Bush back in the White House, or stick with Obama. Remember, this is Ohio. Bush wins, 50 – 42. Independents break 44 -37 in favor of Bush. And, 11% of Democrats wanted Bush back, whereas 3% of Republicans preferred Obama. That music you hear in the background is the theme to Terminator:Judgment Day.
And, FWIW, here is a story completely off the wall, with little political or social relevence. Time magazine reports that a new study shows the mortality rates of those who abstain from alcohol are higher than those of heavy drinkers. We should have some fresh data on the morning of November 3rd to test this hypothesis.
Sixty-three days til Judgment Day. Do your part. Get involved. Join Americans for Prosperity, www.americansforprosperity.org